EU Decides to Play Ball with Willing Partners
Last Friday in Lima, Peru, the heads of state and government
of nearly 60 countries met at the 5
th European Union and Latin American and Caribbean
Countries Summit.
Everything went well—well, according to the hosts,
meaning without surprises, without some vociferous leaders
hijacking the agenda, improvising proposals, or engaging in public
confrontations. And, as usual, some leaders made the most out of
bilateral encounters, while others wasted yet another opportunity.
The build up leading to the summit was not auspicious. On May
12, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that Venezuelan President
Hugo Chavez "does not speak for Latin America." In his ensuing
diatribe, the Venezuelan leader accused Ms. Merkel of representing
the politics of the German right that supported the Nazis. This was
not, nor will it be, the last of Chavez's quest for the headlines
through base insults to another head of state. Another of his
spectacles was feared at the summit. It did not happen.
A rather subdued Chavez spent most of his time trying to make
nice with everyone, with the sole exception of Colombian President
Alvaro Uribe. Interpol released a report on Thursday corroborating
that the computers found in the FARC guerrillas' camp in Ecuador
had not been tampered with. The links between the Venezuelan
government and the Colombian terrorists, exposed by the documents
in the retrieved laptops, are now beyond doubt. Ecuador's
president, Rafael Correa, also implicated by the findings, parroted
Chavez's assertion that the "problem in the region is the Colombian
government."
The Europeans have a different opinion. Spanish Prime
Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero was unequivocal: The FARC are
responsible for the tragedy, the deaths, and the kidnappings. EU
Commissioner for External Relations Benita Ferrero-Waldner
reiterated that the FARC would remain listed as a terrorist
organization. She also said that as well as protecting human rights
and democracy, it is important that Latin American countries
provide European investment with legal certainty.
The EU had formally expressed its concerns to Bolivian
President Evo Morales on how his actions continue to worsen the
climate for investment in the Andean country. In Lima, he decided
to play soccer at the parallel summit—and speak to the meagre
audience at their closing event. Morales also accused the host,
President Alan García, of negotiating with the EU behind his back
as a key aspiration for Peru and Colombia made its way into the
final declaration: The EU will allow different rhythms in the
negotiations of a free trade agreement with the Community of Andean
Nations (CAN).
It has been an objective of the EU to negotiate free trade
deals with Latin America bloc to bloc. Yet regional integration on
this side of the Atlantic is a different reality, which hinders the
viability of the EU's objective. The Lima Declaration emphasizes
the political priority for concluding the association agreements
between the EU and the CAN, and the EU and Central America, as well
as reactivating negotiations with Mercosur. The EU already has
bilateral agreements with Mexico, Chile, and—in a different
context—with the Caribbean Forum.
The CAN is divided. Colombia and Peru are ready and willing
to conclude a free trade deal with the EU; Ecuador is very
reluctant; and Bolivia is opposed to such an agreement. By
acknowledging the need for flexibility, the EU has opened the door
to going ahead with the willing partners.
In the case of Mercosur, negotiations with the EU began more
than a decade ago and have been stalled for quite some time. While
bilateral trade and investments have increased consistently,
benefiting the Mercosur economies, the division between these
countries and their different approaches might hamper the renewal
of negotiations. While Brazilian and Uruguayan macro-economic
fundamentals and policies are sound, the situation of the other two
Southern Cone partners casts some doubts. In Paraguay, newly
elected President Fernando Lugo's position is still unknown, but
his choice of minister of the economy sent an encouraging sign. In
Argentina, the economic outlook is not good: The government of
President Cristina Kirchner is determined to strangle the
agro-industrial sector, responsible for the economy's sustained
growth since the 2002 crisis, and inflation is back, with the
official figures lacking credibility.
Much has been debated about the effectiveness of summits to
deliver concrete results. For the EU, with its heads of state
meeting—in the European Council—up to four times every
year, summits are institutionally inserted within its overall
structure. The design of long-term strategic guidelines can be
combined with the capacity to respond adhoc to pressing issues.
Most other regional or inter-regional summits in the world are less
structured, opening the door for declarations filled with empty
rhetoric, and lacking in precise, tangible and measurable goals.
The Lima declaration represents a step forward in identifying
key issues, and raising awareness on others. It includes the Lima
Agenda, divided into three areas, with ambitious goals and specific
policy recommendations. It very clearly establishes the need to
preserve and promote sound macro-economic policies and a secure
investment climate. It also recommends mechanisms like debt swap
for social investment, the establishment of private-public
partnerships, access to new sources of financing, and the
establishment of funds for social solidarity, and counter-cyclic
funds to finance social policies.
As these are non-binding accords, we can only hope that the
leaders of the Latin American and Caribbean countries would strive
to implement the Lima Agenda. Beyond the moral imperative of
improving the lives of their peoples lies a very real incentive:
the EU is the main foreign investor in the Latin American and
Caribbean region, its second-largest trading partner and, with
$1.85 billion per year, also the leading provider of development
assistance. As the Lima summit showed, we know that some leaders
and their countries are on the right track.
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