Skip to main content
When it comes to elections and democracy, and
the many differences between countries, it is hard to say which
system works better. Yet indicators abound to identify when
something is not right.
Our election, with its limited time frame (36 intense
campaign days), clear rules of what the public service can and
cannot do during that time, and the transparency and reliability of
Elections Canada, stands up very well when compared with others in
our hemisphere.
In 2006, a dozen or so countries of the Americas had
elections. Two years later, by browsing the media in some of them,
it appears presidential elections were about to happen again, given
the overt campaigning and coverage that potential aspirants
receive. The reality is that—at the earliest—the next
polls won't be until 2010 in those countries with four-year
presidential tenures. The point is fixed elections do not prevent
the pernicious effect of seemingly permanent campaigns.
Electoral cycles tend to repeat themselves: a short
"honeymoon" period for new governments is quickly followed by a
period of disenchantment and perceived unfulfilled expectations,
and the electoral race begins again.
The cycle described is worse when combined with excessive
centralization of the political system on the figure of the
president, a personalization of politics over platforms or ideas,
and weak institutions and party systems. Overall, most democracies
in the Americas still show these traits.
Just as fixed elections don't prevent constant campaigning,
there is no such thing as the "best" length for tenure. Periods
vary from the longest, at four years with the possibility of one
immediate re-election, to the shortest of four years without
re-election. Defining the time in office a person—or a
party—needs to carry out an agenda is at the centre of the
political debate in many countries.
In Colombia, President Alvaro Uribe spearheaded the
Constitutional changes that enabled immediate presidential
re-election. The success of his "Democratic Security" agenda in his
first tenure allowed him to be voted in again with overwhelming
support. Given his continuing success—and remarkably high
popularity—another constitutional change to allow a third
term has been proposed. For the sake of Colombia's democracy, Mr.
Uribe should discard that option.
In neighbouring Venezuela, President Hugo Chavez has
tried—and continues trying—to find a way to stay in
power until at least 2021. He claims to be irreplaceable in leading
the country's process of building the Socialism of the 21
st Century. So far, democratic forces within Venezuela
have denied him such right, and his tenure should end in 2012. More
wary analysts believe Chavez's regime could implode earlier as a
result of inefficiency, corruption and widespread violence.
Bolivia and Ecuador would see presidents Evo Morales and
Rafael Correa, respectively, given the possibility of re-election
if their proposed new constitutions are approved. These two fragile
democracies have very weak institutions and the current presidents
are exacerbating the cleavages and divisions within their
societies. In Bolivia, the results of the recent recall referendum
for the president and prefects (governors of the provinces)
entrenched the most antagonistic positions; instead of interpreting
the vote as a mandate for negotiation and compromise, both
sides—government and opposition—have radicalized the
conflict, putting Bolivia's democracy in peril.
In Brazil, re-election was established during the tenure of
former president Fernando Henrique Cardoso, who served his two
terms. Current President Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva was also
re-elected and has clearly said he will step down at the end of
this tenure. In Uruguay, arguably the South American country with
the strongest democratic tradition and institutions, President
Tabare Vazquez has emphatically stated he will only serve one term,
despite widespread mobilization of his supporters urging him
otherwise.
Letting go of power seems to be a tall order for many Latin
American politicians. In countries where immediate re-election is
not an option, the number of former presidents that come back for
another tenure in office—in some cases after gaps longer than
a decade—is surprisingly large.
In Peru, President Alan Garcia is currently having his second
bite at the apple. After his disastrous first tenure in the
mid-1980s, this time around he seems intent on doing things right.
In order to deliver sustainable significant improvements to the
lives of the most impoverished, Mr. Garcia has to stay the
macro-economic course. Yet the pressure to recover his declining
popularity figures could still revive the dormant populist in him.
Nicaragua is arguably the saddest example of how damaging a
return to power of a former president can be. Daniel Ortega's way
back into office was paved with shady political and judicial
dealings. The corruption and mismanagement in his government are in
full swing. The weakness of Nicaraguan institutions, compounded by
the authoritarian vein of Ortega's ideological stances, prefigure
increasing hardships for the people of the second poorest country
in the hemisphere.
In Chile's well-functioning democracy, the upcoming municipal
elections are being overshadowed by the race to replace President
Michelle Bachelet, although presidential elections are not until
2010. The governing coalition's two leading contenders are both
former presidents, Eduardo Frei and Ricardo Lagos—although
both are reluctant to admitting publicly their desire to run.
In Colombia, former president Cesar Gaviria, who is also
former OAS secretary-general, is thinking of running to replace
President Uribe.
Many other issues dampen the democracies of the region. A
recurrent trait in many electoral processes is the use and abuse of
the power of the state by incumbents. Where institutions are weak,
the lines that separate government spending from political party
campaigning get blurred. The impartiality, objectivity and
efficiency of the electoral bodies in many countries also leave a
lot to be desired.
For Canada, democratic governance should continue to be a
fundamental component of our policies of re-engagement with the
hemisphere. It is not a matter of telling others what to do, but
sharing expertise and good practices. It is very easy to criticize,
pointing to the things we could improve in Canada. But when we look
around, our democratic life and institutions are pretty good, and
without becoming too complacent, we should feel proud of
ourselves.
0 Comments